I expect short video generation to be at the level of DALLE 2 in 1 year — e.g. able to get the gist of a prompt, but with lots of artifacts, requiring a lot of compute, and frequently ignoring large parts of the prompt.

I think we can have it very quickly if someone threw a ton of money at it. The question is who wants to take that bet and run at a loss for ages.

What is acceptable for image and content generation has almost no relation to what is acceptable for safety-critical systems.

Given how insanely high the bar is in creative industries, I’m not sure how deep a purely AI generated graphic can succeed

I don’t think the bar is uniformly that high. Go look at the covers of some Kindle Unlimited titles – Midjourney art is better