My point is less that we are more likely to be correct, and more that without seeing the sunk costs first hand it is easier to say "lol it is google they will cancel things!"

For sure people say that. They don't differentiate between pay and free google. It's just google.

So yea, the meme-machine will just dismiss it as 'lol it will be cancelled in a year because google'.

But Stadia might be 1 of 1 ..maybe 2 or 3 pay services they've ever cancelled.