That's because you are focused on the tiny number of famous performers vs the much larger number of competent-but-not-famous ones. And it's why I said that 50% of industry participants would potentially see a 50% drop in bookings. There will always be standout performers that nobody would want to see replaced by a machine. But if you are not already near the top of your industry/budget segment when automation comes along, you have a problem.
Some of those people will be able to move sideways from performance into producing, but that's a very different skillset and many people won't be able to adapt, plus the competitive calculus is very different.
I work part-time on the producing side, and I already use AI-based tools for stuff that would previously have required either a human assistant or many hours of editing work. I've been editing audio digitally for 25 years and on tape for 10 before that A lot of output from major producers (eg NPR) is automated as well. I am able to easily recognize the difference between something hand-edited and something automated for right now, but in another 2-3 years I doubt that I will be able to do so reliably.
Some of those people will be able to move sideways from performance into producing, but that's a very different skillset and many people won't be able to adapt, plus the competitive calculus is very different.
I work part-time on the producing side, and I already use AI-based tools for stuff that would previously have required either a human assistant or many hours of editing work. I've been editing audio digitally for 25 years and on tape for 10 before that A lot of output from major producers (eg NPR) is automated as well. I am able to easily recognize the difference between something hand-edited and something automated for right now, but in another 2-3 years I doubt that I will be able to do so reliably.