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Well, we don't know what the cost-structure of the other market entrants are. Perhaps they have a much higher cost structure than De Beers, and thus there is no point in starting a price war as it not only destroys the long-term market for the gems, but the newer entrants might get wiped out.

I think Game Theory is the right way to look at this - who really gains from a drop in prices? Sure, the new consumer wins - but at the cost of destroying a societal norm. The new entrant might gain short-term profits but at the expense of their long term market and possibly their very existence.

The opportunities for diamond arbitrage are very small, both because there aren't large organised exchanges (no diamond futures contract I'm aware of) and because the retail market is controlled by the suppliers, removing the possibility of 'black market' arbitrage.

Many, many companies would love to exert control over their market in the same way. I just think that new entrants want a piece of the monopoly pie rather than disrupting the entire industry.



Another possibility is that I'm reversing cause and effect here. Perhaps demand started soaring first, which inspired the entrance of the new player, who quickly shored up the gap in demand -- thereby restoring supply/demand equilibrium to the market, and keeping prices stable. Not out of the realm of possibility.

In such a scenario, De Beers wouldn't necessarily or aggressively chase the second player into the new market. It's doing just fine in its existing markets, and it doesn't want to risk setting off a price war over the new market.




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