I can only speak to what I see in my social circle; but the general conclusion is the value is not there currently, and the AI tools theoretically make the payoff decline relative to on-shoring.
Either these tools dont do much, and its business as usual with the cycle of attempts to offshore failing.
Or the tools produce massive quantities of mediocre work, the low-cost developer is now obsolete. Markets that relied on quantity to sustain the industry evaporate. The problems hiring overseas are only amplified by this, leading to increased overhead finding the skilled developers. Other issues such as timezones, large team coordination, political risks, and cultural mismatch remain, and smother a shrinking sector.
Or the tools work very well; and if they produce better quality than you can then you are obsolete. Development generally as a concept is unrecognizable.
Either these tools dont do much, and its business as usual with the cycle of attempts to offshore failing.
Or the tools produce massive quantities of mediocre work, the low-cost developer is now obsolete. Markets that relied on quantity to sustain the industry evaporate. The problems hiring overseas are only amplified by this, leading to increased overhead finding the skilled developers. Other issues such as timezones, large team coordination, political risks, and cultural mismatch remain, and smother a shrinking sector.
Or the tools work very well; and if they produce better quality than you can then you are obsolete. Development generally as a concept is unrecognizable.